Extreme fire danger across most of South Australia and Victoria as cyclones threaten to form near Queensland and WA

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Extreme fire danger and total fire bans have been declared for much of South Australia and Victoria, including Melbourne, as hot and dry winds bring sweltering temperatures to the region on Saturday, and cyclones threaten to form off the Queensland and Western Australian coasts.

Forecast temperatures were between six and 12C above average in many places for Saturday, with expected maximums of 39C in Adelaide, 36C in Melbourne, 30C in Canberra and 29C in Hobart, ending a run of mild weather.

While Sydney’s forecast maximum was 27C with a possible shower, inland New South Wales was expecting maximums of 39C and 40C in some areas, and temperatures were tipped to climb into the low 40s in some parts of SA.

The hot and dry winds blowing down from the centre of the continent also bring the possibility of dry lightning, which may spark new blazes.

Angus Hines, senior meteorologist at the Bureau of Meteorology, said the heat and wind made conditions particularly dangerous for fire.

“Existing bushfires, as well as any new ignitions that begin today, can spread quickly and behave erratically, making them difficult to contain,” Hines said.

Western Victoria has already suffered through a number of bushfires this summer, with the Grampians/Gariwerd and Little Desert national parks, and populations including Halls Gap and Dimboola, particularly affected.

The Grampians fires have burnt 136,329ha of park and private land. As of Friday they were all under control.

Bushfires have also been burning in Tasmania’s north-west since early February, with the popular Overland hiking route closed to visitors due to ongoing fires, and a number of other blazes still active near the west coast.

Hines said on Saturday that relief from the heat would move through SA late on Saturday before crossing Victoria and Tasmania on Sunday morning.

“By lunchtime on Sunday, milder weather will have set in for these southern states, although NSW and ACT will still experience above average temperatures until early next week,” Hines said.

Meanwhile, tropical lows off the coasts of Queensland and WA threaten to develop into cyclones, one of which could bring more rain to already flood-affected areas along the Queensland coast.

A low a few hundred kilometres east of Cairns over the Coral Sea was drifting slowly eastwards away from the Queensland coast as of Saturday morning.

“This system has a high chance of developing into a tropical cyclone on Sunday night or early next week,” Hines said. “If it does develop, it’s not likely to move anywhere quickly, lingering in the Coral Sea for several days. This could bring some gusty conditions, showers and increased swell to the central and northern Queensland coast, but otherwise, will have minimal impact on our weather.”

Later in the coming week the system may move to the south-east, away from Australia, with its impact weakening.

“But there is definitely still a chance that late in the weekit could veer towards Queensland, bringing stronger weather impacts to parts of the Queensland coast,” Hines said.

A second tropical low was sitting more than 500km north of the WA coastline in the Indian Ocean and moving west, away from the country.

“This system has a high chance of tropical cyclone development from Monday onwards,” Hines said. “If it forms into a tropical cyclone, it’s highly likely to continue moving west for several days, meaning little to no impact for mainland Australia and even the offshore islands in the Indian Ocean.”

It was most likely to veer south and weaken, well away from the WA coast.

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