Hole in Antarctic ozone layer shrinks to smallest since 2019, scientists say

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The hole in the ozone layer over the Antarctic this year was the smallest and shortest-lived since 2019, according to European space scientists, who described the finding as a “reassuring sign” of the layer’s recovery.

The yearly gap in what scientists have called “planetary sunscreen” reached a maximum area of 21m sq km (8.1m sq miles) over the southern hemisphere in September – well below the maximum of 26m sq km reached in 2023 – and shrank in size until coming to an early close on Monday, data from the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (Cams) shows.

It marks the second year in a row of smaller holes in the ozone layer, after a series of larger and longer-lasting holes that appeared between 2020 and 2023.

“The earlier closure and relatively small size of this year’s ozone hole is a reassuring sign,” said Laurence Rouil, the director of Cams. “[It] reflects the steady year-on-year progress we are now observing in the recovery of the ozone layer thanks to the ODS [ozone-depleting substances] ban.”

The ozone layer, a stratospheric shield that protects life on Earth from ultraviolet (UV) rays, has been worn down by human pollution. However, since ozone-depleting chemicals were phased out by the 1987 Montreal protocol and a series of amendments that followed, it has begun to recover.

A study in Nature Climate Change last year found the actions had successfully curbed emissions, and led to the heating effects of the gases peaking five years earlier than expected. The World Meteorological Organization estimates that the ban will enable a recovery of the ozone layer over the Antarctic, where it is thinnest, to 1980 levels by 2066.

Scientists are still working to understand why the ozone holes were so big and persistent between 2020 and 2023. They suspect that the eruption of the Hunga Tonga volcano in 2022, which spewed ash and water vapour into the stratosphere, played a significant role in the large 2023 ozone hole.

Cams said large holes in recent years showed the decline in global stratospheric ozone could have reached “catastrophic levels” without successful agreements to phase out pollutants.

“This progress should be celebrated as a timely reminder of what can be achieved when the international community works together to address global environmental challenges,” said Rouil.

A lack of ozone in the stratosphere allows more UV radiation to reach the surface of the Earth, damaging crops, increasing cases of skin cancer and cataracts, and causing other harms to human health.

Last week, Nasa and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration in the US ranked the 2025 ozone hole as the fifth smallest since 1992.

Paul Newman, the leader of the ozone research team at Nasa’s Goddard Space Flight Center, said the change in the size of holes was following predictions.

“They’re forming later in the season and breaking up earlier,” he said. “But we still have a long way to go before it recovers to 1980s levels.”

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