Polish presidential election too close to call as campaigning enters final hours – Europe live

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Both candidates out and about from early morning

Both candidates are out and about from early hours today, as they fight for every single vote they can get.

Speaking in Włocławek, Trzaskowski rallied his voters and urged them to “convince all those who are not convinced yet.”

“These values that we most cherish – honesty, basic human decency, ale [the motivation to] build Poland that thinks about the future – will win,” he said.

Nawrocki hit the road early, too, posting a smiling photo from his campaign bus just before 7am. Earlier this morning, he was in Gorlice in south-eastern Poland, rallying his voters in what is traditionally a conservative stronghold.

Rafał Trzaskowski, Civic Coalition presidential candidate, during a visit to the Weglewski farm in Buczek yesterday.
Rafał Trzaskowski, Civic Coalition presidential candidate, during a visit to the Weglewski farm in Buczek yesterday. Photograph: Kacper Pempel/Reuters
Karol Nawrocki, presidential candidate supported by the Law and Justice party, greets supporters during a campaign rally in Katowice yesterday.
Karol Nawrocki, presidential candidate supported by the Law and Justice party, greets supporters during a campaign rally in Katowice yesterday. Photograph: Anadolu/Getty Images

Morning opening: Too close to call

Jakub Krupa

Jakub Krupa

Good morning, or dzień dobry, from Warsaw.

On the final day of the Polish presidential campaign, all polls show the difference between the two leading candidates – pro-European Warsaw mayor Rafał Trzaskowski and nationalist right historian Karol Nawrocki – within the margin of error.

A combination picture shows two leading candidates in the Polish presidential election – Warsaw mayor Rafał Trzaskowski (L) and opposition candidate historian Karol Nawrocki (R).
A combination picture shows two leading candidates in the Polish presidential election – Warsaw mayor Rafał Trzaskowski (L) and opposition candidate historian Karol Nawrocki (R). Photograph: Kacper Pempel/Reuters

With the country going into a period of “electoral silence” at midnight, both of them have just under 15 hours to win over the last wavering voters in what will probably be the closest election in Polish history.

According to polls, some 5% of voters are yet to make their minds up, and it is this group that could decide the outcome on Sunday.

The final margin between the two candidates is expected to be about 200,000 votes – in a nation of 37 million, with some 29.3 million eligible to vote.

Polish presidential vote averages

I will bring you all the key updates from Poland and across Europe throughout the day.

It’s Friday, 30 May 2025, it’s Jakub Krupa here, and this is Europe Live.

Good morning.

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